By Rod Hill on 2011-05-08
Still reason to hope for a nice summer! (fingers crossed)
The latest update on La Nina, indicates a warming of Pacific waters, meaning La Nina is weakening! In fact, a return to Neutral conditions is expected by June 1st. If true, I would expect our weather to transition to a drier and warmer pattern as June begins.
Current forecast charts show a cool, wet pattern to continue through May 23rd. Summer outlook charts from the National Weather Service, show no confidence in summer precipitation patterns, which will likely mean a near normal dry season. Temperature charts show weak confidence towards slightly cooler than normal days June through August. If we enter a period of Neutral conditions by June 1st, I believe odds favor a much drier and warmer summer than last year.
As always, season outlooks should be taken with a grain of salt. But to repeat, I see no reason to believe this summer will be like last. Let's expect a trend towards drier, warmer days, starting with June.
Happy Summer (fingers crossed)
March & April Combine For Records