This winter's outlook is centered on the high confidence projection from NOAA that El Nino conditions will continue through March of 2024. The recent El Nino in 2015-2016, brought the wettest month on record for Portland, leading to flooding and one of the strongest tornadoes on record in Washington.
Before we go any further, here is a recap of my winter outlook from last year. The most significant call was the projection that any big snow storms would take place during the final two weeks of February. The one snowstorm for the season dumped 11" February 22nd.